Blob Mckenzie wrote:I critique the man on his job performance which right now is at about a C-.
I think that's somewhat fair, but I think its difficult to separate the team's performance (which is C- at best, more like a big fat F) with the performance of the man who built the team.
There's little doubt that this is Benning's team. We all quibbled when Gillis had his greatest success over how much credit was due to Nonis given the roster overlap, but as of today there are 4 players left that were inherited by Benning, as well as Gillis-picks Horvat and Hutton (and Gaunce, for whatever he's worth).
So we've witnessed Benning rebuild the team, and now we're witnessing the Twinsition. The problem is with the latter - the Twinsition was not planned for, there weren't/aren't players in the prospect pipeline ready to take over the top line.
Gillis probably recognized this when he made the Schneider trade. Unfortunately, he was a few years behind the 8-ball, and we only have Hutton and Horvat to show for 6 years of drafts.
My question is, what could any other GM have done differently? I know Blob will say, not throw in 2nd rounders on trades - fine, that could be, though I don't agree. Even then, you're talking about a 2nd for Vey, a 2nd for a 3rd in the Sutter trade, and maybe the 5th for Larsen and the 7th for Etem. I'd argue the Clendenning-Forsling trade would merit a do-over, however the Baertschi for a 2nd was an obvious win for the Canucks.
Regarding his UFA signings, there's criticism of the big ones - Miller and Eriksson. Miller is opposed by tankers, however this past lottery has clearly demonstrated that building a team by counting on a lottery pick is foolish in the new lottery system. It won't work. Eriksson is a more-than-fair criticism. However, looking ahead to UFAs coming available, if Eriksson isn't as terrible as he seemed this year, it could be that there are no better options available when the Canucks are competitive again. (Sorry folks, Tavares ain't coming here)
The Sharks are similar in a lot of ways - fading, expensive stars in Thornton and Marleau, who's productivity essentially mirrored the Sedins. What's keeping them competitive are excellent draft picks in 03 (Pavelski), 07 (Couture) and an unbelievable trade for Brent Burns by sending 05 first rounder Setoguchi, 10 first rounder Charlie Coyle, and the 2011 1st round pick.
In comparison, those equivalent picks on the Canucks roster - 03 Gudbranson (via McCann and Kesler), 05 Luc Bourdon, 07 Patrick White, 11 Nicklas Jensen (2010 1st rounder went to Florida for Ballard).
Benning trading away 2nd rounders is not going to fix that problem of awful drafting for a decade. Doug Wilson is one of the greatest GMs, but replace Burns, Pavelski and Couture on that team with Erik Gudbranson, and they're a lottery team too.
My point is, I don't believe any of Benning's moves can be blamed for the state of the team. Not even a 2nd for Vey. Benning inherited a decade of awful drafting. Gillis had started to turn it around by the time he got canned, and Benning has continued to improve the drafting and developing.
The one thing caveat is what effect Willie had on the team. Is his system to blame for the terrible performances from the Sedins and Eriksson? I believe those three players determine the fate of the team - they combined for 41 goals, had they combined for 70 goals, that increase in production would have put them at the bottom of playoff-bound teams San Jose, Anaheim and Calgary.
Wishful thinking? Probably, but if we see a big bounce-back from those 3 next season, I believe we'll be in the playoff hunt and Benning will wear the goat-horns for sticking with Willie D for as long as he did.
So unlike many pundits, I see that there's been a five-year plan since Benning arrived, we're coming into year 4, and this upcoming season will be a reasonable time to gauge the plan. He hasn't achieved the impossible (replacing the Twins with what was in stock), but the trajectory *should* be for improvement next season.