Re: Canucks News N Notes 24-25
Posted: Thu Jan 09, 2025 11:54 am
We’ll seeCousin Strawberry wrote: ↑Thu Jan 09, 2025 11:23 am J Rutherford is anything but a yes man. Alvin? Sure but Rutherford isn't a gobbler
The fact pattern fits your theory, and the conclusion follows logically.Chef Boi RD wrote: ↑Thu Jan 09, 2025 10:01 am ...I have no doubt we will see 60 years without a cup.
Its super frustrating, RG. I’m pretty much convinced there is just one thing getting in the way of the Canucks winning the cup - the Aqualini’s. Had Gaglardi bought the team, we are talking a different story, IMO.Ronning's Ghost wrote: ↑Thu Jan 09, 2025 6:05 pmThe fact pattern fits your theory, and the conclusion follows logically.Chef Boi RD wrote: ↑Thu Jan 09, 2025 10:01 am ...I have no doubt we will see 60 years without a cup.
As great as it is to have rational Dude back, it's discouraging to contemplate how futile this franchise will remain.
This.... He's a top 3, at worst a top 5 player in the game. He's also a good human. I'm sure they're tapped into what his thoughts are. I'd need to know he will re up here long term in 2027. I don't like the thought of gassing a coach that's helped take him to the next level unless Jon Cooper or Craig Berube is suddenly available. They can't have him getting abused like that ever again. PLD needs a heavy slew foot and then a beating next game against that team. Protect your own.Carl Yagro wrote: ↑Thu Jan 09, 2025 6:31 pm What this regime needs to assess is, what is the captain thinking?
Make the moves or non-moves that will make him want to stay and sign the biggest contract in Canucks’ history.
Every other Canuck is secondary and expendable.
Just because the government took over the business and "legalized" it, you think there are no more dealers?Cousin Strawberry wrote: ↑Thu Jan 09, 2025 6:52 pm![]()
Dealers are so 1989
We shop locally and responsibly
Don't quote me unless you want to piss off Lever.A lot of this improvement has to do with the return to the lineup of J.T. Miller.
His overall play remains uneven, but the simple reality is he is better than the guys he was replacing.
The Canucks’ expected goals rate improves by 21 percentage points when Miller is on the ice compared to when he’s not, according to HockeyViz.com.
The Canucks, to no shock, are well above average offensively with Miller on the ice compared to being below-average when he’s off.
But, but, but... he's an asshole and the team is better without him.
Um, no.
...
Something something... Hronek as a regular is much better than Juulsen...
Well, no shit.
...
If you want to understand how badly things were going for the Canucks for much of December, just look at Elias Pettersson’s expected goals numbers.
With both Miller and Hronek out of the lineup, the Canucks were giving up about 0.6 expected goals per 60 minutes of five-on-five ice time with Pettersson on the ice.
It’s not just that he was struggling, the team as a whole was.
The Canucks need Pettersson back, quite simply put. And then obviously, they need Pettersson to get back to being Prime Pettersson, the guy who creates opportunities for his linemates and bag his own.
Well yeah, we've been saying this since after the 2024 ASG, FFS... it wasn't just bad for the team in December.
...
Hughes’ relative shot-attempts for percentage is 16.7, that is the percentage point difference between the Canucks’ shot-attempts percentage when Hughes is on the ice and when he’s off.
The Canucks are 1/6th better when he’s on the ice, compared to when he’s off.
That’s a staggering difference. Indeed it’s the best in the NHL.
In other words, better play when Hughes isn’t on the ice sure would help a lot.
Well, no shit.
Thanks Carl. It's hard to take this place/team too seriously. I mostly just read stuff, and spit out whatever bs floasts to the top of my brain. Unless there's capology and math involved. Then I get serious.Carl Yagro wrote: ↑Thu Jan 09, 2025 6:36 pmLove this place. I guffaw daily without having to pay a dealer for cackle weed like some other poster.
Chef's assertions... WRONG.Let’s be clear here: the idea that Elias Pettersson started playing better while Miller was out of the lineup is a total fallacy.
Pettersson’s game had greatly improved even before Miller left the lineup. He had scored four goals in the five games before Miller went on leave Nov. 19, for instance.
Now, against all odds, Pettersson kept picking up points with Miller out, even as the Canucks’ offence cratered.
But a look under the hood shows that with Pettersson on the ice, the Canucks’ quality of chances fell by half.
And that tracks with the overall trend described above. The Canucks were remarkable good at finishing what chances they created.
Oh ho! Both sides, 200ft game. Just like last season when their line matched up against the other team's best and consistently got the better of them... kind of how the Sedins used to but without owning the puck as much.Here’s why Miller’s return, in the end, could mean everything, more than a return for Hronek or the Canucks trading for a new defenceman: no Canuck has a higher five-on-five expected-goals rate than Miller.
At 2.74 expected goals per 60 minutes of five-on-five time, Miller is a hair above Quinn Hughes.
Miller has driven the offence when he is on the ice this season like none other. Even without considering how well Pettersson has been playing, or not, that’s a massive figure and one you simply can’t replace.
The Canucks have also done very well defensively with Miller on the ice, 2.18 expected goals against per 60 minutes of five-on-five time, slightly above Pettersson and Hughes’ 2.11.
Carl Yagro wrote: ↑Fri Jan 10, 2025 11:03 am Same author from pre-Christmas: https://theprovince.com/sports/hockey/n ... aper-tiger
At least this media member will show data to make points instead of driving personal agenda by making sheep bleat for them.
Chef's assertions... WRONG.Let’s be clear here: the idea that Elias Pettersson started playing better while Miller was out of the lineup is a total fallacy.
Pettersson’s game had greatly improved even before Miller left the lineup. He had scored four goals in the five games before Miller went on leave Nov. 19, for instance.
Now, against all odds, Pettersson kept picking up points with Miller out, even as the Canucks’ offence cratered.
But a look under the hood shows that with Pettersson on the ice, the Canucks’ quality of chances fell by half.
And that tracks with the overall trend described above. The Canucks were remarkable good at finishing what chances they created.
Oh ho! Both sides, 200ft game. Just like last season when their line matched up against the other team's best and consistently got the better of them... kind of how the Sedins used to but without owning the puck as much.Here’s why Miller’s return, in the end, could mean everything, more than a return for Hronek or the Canucks trading for a new defenceman: no Canuck has a higher five-on-five expected-goals rate than Miller.
At 2.74 expected goals per 60 minutes of five-on-five time, Miller is a hair above Quinn Hughes.
Miller has driven the offence when he is on the ice this season like none other. Even without considering how well Pettersson has been playing, or not, that’s a massive figure and one you simply can’t replace.
The Canucks have also done very well defensively with Miller on the ice, 2.18 expected goals against per 60 minutes of five-on-five time, slightly above Pettersson and Hughes’ 2.11.
100+ points, toughest defensive matchups, made linemate into 40 goal scorer, 57% FO, run PP, start on PK by taking draws, $8M/yr... fuck you want?
Walk loudly and carry a big straw.
