Right, Putin's foremost propaganda tool, RT, quotes a bipolar hockey goalie with a history of substance abuse, who clearly is an expert on epidemiology...
Strangelove wrote: ↑Thu Apr 02, 2020 6:40 pm
Typical fucking Swedes, thinking they're smarter than everyone else, when
clearly they're not.
Do you have a source for that?
Strangelove wrote: ↑Thu Apr 02, 2020 6:40 pm
And of course they're letting the politicians make these calls, rather than the doctors.
Uhm... quite the opposite.
Whereas most countries let their politicians stake out the course, which often leads to grandstanding and attempts to show forcefulness, in Sweden the Public Health Agency is in charge, and decisions are made by Sweden's foremost epidemiologists.
Anders Tegnell, with the title "statsepidemiolog" (roughly "national epdemiologist") has explained that experience from other pandemics has shown that they can last for a very long time, eg three years of the Spanish Flu, and that it is not advisable to shut down society for such an extended time. He does not rule out an eventual lockdown, but states that it is too early at this point. Shutting down schools would force healthcare workers to stay at home to care for their perfectly healthy children rather than corona patients.
Sweden is aiming for a slow spread of the virus, to gain enough of a herd immunity to prevent that a second outbreak next winter will be worse than the first peak, while at the same time isolating risk groups to prevent them from being infected.
A recent study from Harvard seems to support this strategy, where a 20-40% slowdown in spread has a better long term efficiency than a 60% slowdown:
https://dash.harvard.edu/bitstream/hand ... sAllowed=y
We're aiming for the red or blue curves. A more efficient curb on the spread early on will give the green curve, which is better than the black one (no action taken) but not as good as the middle of the road options.
Here's the take by one of our foremost historians:
The policies of Sweden and the UK were almost identical at the outset, but the Swedish epidemiologists stuck to their guns and calculations when their British counterparts switched track. And the Swedish politicians follow their experts, to a tee.
The Swedish prime minister Stefan Löfven, social democrat, ex-union leader, ex-welder, made a speech on TV to the nation, a rare occurrence in this country, and came across as rather Churchillian, with the national flag behind him and on his lapel, talking about duty and sacrifice. His approval rating has almost doubled. At the same time, much of the political dissent has died down. There has even been talk about forming a grand coalition government — something not seen in Sweden since the second world war.
The more lenient Swedish restrictions feel like a bit of a gamble, but only time will tell if they actually work. We are back with the old adage: nobody knows what is going to happen, but afterwards everyone can explain it.
https://www.ft.com/content/b3512e92-74c ... d274e920ca